The Polls Have Been Wrong Before

Are you starting to detect a pattern here? All the pollsters predicted Obama, on the heels of victory in Iowa (which shocked most of them), would cruise to victory in the Granite State. They were all wrong. Hillary Rodham Clinton beat Barack Hussein Obama 39 percent to 37 percent when N.H. Dems went to the polls — thus the old saying, “the only poll that matters is on Election Day.”

If you’re looking for hope for McCain, consider this…

By Chris Ingram

Two days before New Hampshire Democrats went to the polls in January of this year, CNN and the University of New Hampshire’s tracking poll predicted Barack Hussein Obama would beat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the primary by ten points (39 percent to 29 percent).  A day later, these same geniuses predicted HRC had narrowed her deficit, but only by a point (39 percent to 30 percent). 

Meanwhile, over at American Research Group, the brains in their polling operation found Obama leading 40 percent to HRC’s 31 percent the two nights before the election.  Over at CBS, their poll had it at 35 percent Obama and 28 percent for Clinton. While Reuters/Zogby had the race all but over for Clinton, with Obama getting 42 percent to her 29 percent. 

Are you starting to detect a pattern here? All the pollsters predicted Obama, on the heels of victory in Iowa (which shocked most of them), would cruise to victory in the Granite State.  They were all wrong. Hillary Rodham Clinton beat Barack Hussein Obama 39 percent to 37 percent when N.H. Dems went to the polls — thus the old saying, “the only poll that matters is on Election Day.”

So to all my Republican friends out there, I offer you this reminder and encouragement. There is hope. The polls, virtually every last stinking one of them could be wrong. They have been wrong before. Just don’t go betting the farm on the likelihood that you’ll be whistling “Hail to the Chief” to John McCain. He’s run a terrible campaign and Obama despite his lack of experience in office, has run a textbook political campaign.

Something strange has got to happen for McCain to win. Where is Katherine Harris when you need her?

Chris Ingram is the president and founder of 411 Communications a corporate and political communications firm, and publisher of http://www.IrreverentView.com. Ingram is a frequent pundit on Fox News and CNN, and has written opinion columns for the Washington Times, UPI, Front Page Florida, and National Review online. E-mail him at: Chris@411Communications.net.

2 thoughts on “The Polls Have Been Wrong Before”

  1. I am praying that you are right about the polls. All those Democrats in charge of Washington… just the thought of it makes me want to puke!

    Like

  2. *whistles*

    I understand the urge for bipartisan leadership, but I wouldn’t be so concerned about a largely Democratic population in Washington. Let’s put it in perspective. By and large, the Republican party is, to put it mildly, pretty homogenous. They tend to hold the same stances on the same issues, time after time.

    Now, over to the Democrats. The thing I like about them? They can’t band together. Literally have no capacity to.

    That would seem a mark against them, and in terms of elections, it is. However, it also contributes to their being a much more well balanced party. So far as I’ve seen, many subgroups and different political stances.

    The one thing they can agree on is the refusal to limit individual liberties (though, also, the ridiculous willingness to raise taxes. To be honest, though, this is a problem the rich complain about more than the poor, which has always struck me as a bit twisted. To top that off, there’s the ineptitude with which they address the numerous social problems they claim to address, but I digress).

    In essence, if there has to be a party in a majority over the governmental systems, I would much rather it be democrats. At least they won’t get anything done.

    I put the question to you, though; do you really believe that the overwhelming majority of Democrats is unpredictable? The Republicans have enjoyed their time for the past decade. Let’s see if the Democrats can fuck it up so solidly as they did.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s